Saturday, February 12, 2011

Madoff Scam

Madoff was a former chairman of NASDAQ stock exchange and had a rich experience in the financial

industry. He started a huge unregistered hedge funds firm which promised incredible returns. He was

reported to generate phenomenal 40 - 50% returns within a period of 90 days. Markopolos, who had a

fair knowledge in the area of statistical mathematics and was working for a Boston investment firm, was

instructed by his manager to reverse engineer the trading strategy of Madoff so that the firm can

replicate the same strategy to revitalize their turbulent business. Madoff was also a philanthropist, so

hardly anyone suspected him.

Markopolos observed that there was no correlation between the market's return and Madoff's return.

Markets incessantly had regular ups and downs but the trend of the returns of Madoff's firm was always

upwards [Except on a few occasions]. He then concluded that either he was using insider information to

rack up huge profits or he was running a ponzi scheme. Using an insider is illegal because it deprives the

other investors to earn their actual returns from their investments. Ponzi scheme is even more

horrendous where the operator reciprocates high returns by paying dividends or returns from the

principal amount collected from the subsequent investors. Either way, he was doing something illegal.

Markopolos proved that in order to execute the trading strategy, Madoff would have to buy more

options than what actually existed in Chicago Board Options Exchange. His doubt was even clearer when

he was unable to find any firm where Madoff had any investments which were a lagging indicator that

he was actually not involved in any trades. He informed SEC[Securities and Exchange Commission]

several times which always went unheard. Finally in 2008, he was noticed for generating high returns

even the times of recession. In the turbulent times, when people grew skeptical of the bull market

started demanding redemption of their money which hardly existed and was hard to come by, the

operations collapsed and the fraud of 65 billion dollars was confirmed in the first week of December,

2008.

Madoff has left millions of his clients clueless. US was said to be hit with another tsunami when it was

yet to recover from its sub-prime lending crisis. Thousands of firms including various hospitals, schools

and missionaries who invested with Madoff had to declare bankruptcy. Markopolis today criticizes SEC

for being deaf to his earlier appeals. He interestingly proclaims that it took five minutes for him to know

that there was a fraud and another four hours of mathematical modeling to prove that it was a fraud.

Madoff who ages 71 now, has been awarded 150 years of imprisonment.

This scam has triggered immediate intervention from the government side which asks the hedge funds

industry to disclose their strategies. Now, as the industry banks entirely on their strategies, it will

horribly abate the business of firms like bridgestone, D E Shaw & Co, Fortress investment groups, Citadel

investment groups and many more such firms.